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Sunday, 15 September 2013

TPL Picks: Week 2 - Winners, Spread picks & Game of the Week

Week 2!! Football is firmly back, we saw surprises, both good and bad, unbelievable performances and heartbreaking losses in week 1. This week we've already had possibly the worst game of the year on thursday in Foxboro which saw the Patriots very nearly drop what should have been an easy win.

After last week's straight win picks, this week we're hitting you with a couple of spread picks courtesy of Toby and his "expertise" as well as a break down of our Game of the Week. Check them all out after the jump, and as ever if you disagree feel free to let us know!


Game Of The Week: San Francisco 49ers (1-0) @ Seattle Seahawks (1-0)
Sunday; 8.30pm (ET)


Not exactly a surprise that I'm going with this game. I could have choosen to discuss The Chip Kelly Experience or the Manning Bowl, but nope, I'm going with the first clash of most people's top two teams in 2013, or as they've monikered each other, the Shehawks and the Forty-Whiners.

So what do the great Al Michaels and Cris Collinsworth have to work with this Sunday? Well primarily, as far as we're concerned, is the best offensive line in football which played below expectations in week 1 against Green Bay. The new look Seahawks defensive line, that is without Chris Clemons & Alan Branch from last year, will need a big day to keep the 49ers linemen off of the young linebackers. Then there's the young unit for Seattle featuring Russell Okung and Max Unger who do a great job in both facets of the offense, but will have their hands full with the Smiths. How they perform in this game will give us a good idea of just how successful the Seahawks can be this year on offense.

Last season this fixture was done by half time, as the Seahawks scored 4 touchdowns while allowing the 49ers just 4 first downs on offense. But this year I expect it to be much closer. Marshawn Lynch looked incredibly human last week, getting just 2.5 yards per carry against Carolina, while the Seahawks allowed a 5.2 ypc average. An imbalance like that will kill them against the 49ers.

On the outside the big match up is Anquan Boldin against, well, everyone. He was Kaepernick's go-to guy last week pulling in 13 of 17 targets for 208 yards and a touchdown. The Seahawks will have to decide if they shadow him with Richard Sherman or not. Sherman traditionally sticks to the left side, in part because Brandon Browner is very good on the other side aswell, but partly because he's more comfortable on the left side. If they can take Boldin out of the game it will leave Kaepernick with Vernon Davis (against the best safety pair in football) and not a lot else.

Whoever you are, this game is one of the absolute can't-miss fixtures of the year. If you love mobile QB's, brutal run games or stellar defense this game has it all. Oh, and lets not forget the loudest fans in any American sport, two sets of players who hate each other and one of the best coaching rivalries around. (TD)


TD's Spread Picks:


  • Atlanta Falcons -5 Over St. Louis Rams


Yes, the Falcons O-Line looks weak while Robert Quinn and his fellow Rams D-Line could be one of the outstanding groups this year, but the Rams are going to struggle mightily to contain Julio Jones, Tony Gonzalez and a one-footed Roddy White. Steven Jackson looked good against the Saints, and while he might have mixed feelings in the build up, once the game starts there's no doubt he'll cause his old team a lot of trouble.

The Georgia Dome is one of the toughest places to go and play, and while the Rams offense were fairly good vs Arizona I just don't trust Bradford to cover this on the road.



  • Detroit Lions -1.5 Over Arizona Cardinals


The Calvin Johnson - Patrick Peterson fight is going to be outstanding and fairly even, the Fairley & Suh vs. Interior offensive line battle however, is going to be cripplingly onesided. As will any pass rusher the Lions can roll out against Levi Brown. Reggie Bush might already be banged up, but without Daryl Washington the Cardinals lack the ability to track him in their base defense. Yes, Carson Palmer and Larry Fitzgerald will have some success, but give me Stafford, Megatron and Bush by less than a field goal here.


  • Jacksonville Jaguars +5.5 Over Oakland Raiders


No, I'm not actually going to put any money down on this steaming turd of a matchup, but the Raiders should never be favourite by more than a field goal against anyone. Not ever. I don't care how lively their offense looked against Indy or how dreadful the Jags were last week. Chad Henne will be starting for the Jags, and he's undoubtedly an upgrade over Blaine Gabbert. Oakland are my pick for the 1st overall selection in the 2014 draft, If that's going to happen then they'll have to lose this one.



      

Toby Durant 
Phil Gaskin 
Gur Samuel 




Jets @ Patriots

Patriots 
Patriots 
Patriots 
Rams @ Falcons

Falcons 
Falcons
Falcons
Vikings @ Bears

Bears 
Bears
Bears
Redskins @ Packers

Packers 
Packers
Packers
Dolphins @ Colts

Dolphins 
Colts
Dolphins
Cowboys @ Chiefs

Chiefs 
Cowboys
Cowboys
Browns @ Ravens

Ravens 
Ravens
Ravens
Titans @ Texans

Texans 
Texans
Texans
Chargers @ Eagles

Eagles 
Eagles
Eagles
Lions @ Cardinals

Lions 
Lions
Cardinals
Saints @ Buccaneers

Saints 
Saints
Saints
Jaguars @ Raiders

Jaguars 
Raiders
Raiders
Broncos @ Giants

Broncos 
Broncos
Broncos
49ers @ Seahawks

Seahawks 
49ers
49ers
Steelers @ Bengals 

Bengals 
Bengals
Bengals




Last Week:

11-5
10-6
11-5
Overall: 
11-5
10-6
11-5




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